
Even as the United States broke a record for the number of Covid-19 deaths reported in a single day, Dr. Paul Offit told CNNâs New Day there were several reasons to be hopeful that the coronavirus situation could get âdramatically betterâ soon.
Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at the Childrenâs Hospital in Philadelphia and a member of the US Food and Drug Administrationâs Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee, acknowledged the âawfulâ numbers are likely to continue for a few months, but said there are reasons for optimism:
Mass vaccinations
There are two âremarkably effectiveâ vaccines and âweâre finally starting to get how to mass administer,â Offit said, citing examples such as the Pennsylvania Convention Center or the Dodger Stadium. Meanwhile two more vaccines â those from Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca — âare right around the corner,â he added.
Warmer weather
âThe weather will get warmer, when the weather gets warmer, that makes it much more difficult for this virus,â Offit said, explaining that when it is hot and humid, the virus, which is spread by small droplets, spreads less easily.
New political administration
Offit said the incoming Biden administration âisnât into this cult of denialismâ that surrounded the Trump administrationâs coronavirus response, and it would âtake this problem head on.â
A population building immunity
The number of people who have been reported to have been infected with coronavirus — 23 million — is an underestimate, according to Offit. Many people have had an asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic infection and were never tested. The numbers who have been infected are probably closer to 65 or 70 million, he said.
âThatâs 20% of the population that when theyâre re-exposed to this virus are not going to become sick with it,â he said, although itâs not clear how long immunity after infection lasts.
If another 55 to 60% of the population can be vaccinated — something which Offit said can be done at a million to a million and a half doses a day — âthen I really do think that by June we can stop the spread of this virus.â
Source: CNN | News Colony