From 2h ago
‘Vibrancy’ reforms on the table for later dining hours in NSW
Fresh “vibrancy guidelines” will be introduced in NSW to make it easier for restaurants and bars that are a reasonable distance from homes to trade later into the night, AAP reports.
The changes come after a handful of residents successfully blocked a restaurant at Sydney’s exclusive Palm Beach from opening in the evening, despite their homes being separated from the venue by a golf course.
Northern Beaches council in March rejected an application from a newly opened restaurant, The Joey, to open past 4pm after residents living more than 500 metres away complained about potential noise from the licensed premises.
“It really has left people scratching their heads,” the state’s night-time economy minister, John Graham, told ABC Radio.
They’re having to turn people away.
A planned change in legislation, which has been approved by cabinet but is yet to be introduced to state parliament, will apply to bars and restaurants on land 500m or more away from a residential property.
Councils will have to consider a set of “vibrancy guidelines” when assessing certain applications to extend operating hours in those cases.
The guidelines will be developed alongside the state’s 24-hour economy commissioner, Michael Rodrigues, after consultation with councils, stakeholders and the wider community.
These guidelines will really spell out some of the factors that councils should take into account to look after neighbours, but also make sure they’ve got vibrant places.
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Two men, one of whom is a former childcare worker, have been sentenced to a combined 63 years’ jail for a series of child abuse offences, according to a NSW police media release.
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The NSW men, 30 and 25 years old, pleaded guilty in 2022 to a combined 354 child abuse offences, involving 30 child victims. They were sentenced today at Downing Centre district court.
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The 30-year-old man was convicted of 248 offences, including 30 offences of sexual intercourse with a child under 10 years of age, and was sentenced to 37 years with a non-parole period of 26 years.
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The 25-year-old man was convicted of 106 offences, including 31 offences of sexual intercourse with a child under 10 years of age. He was sentenced to 26 years, with a non-parole period of 16 years and nine months.
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The pair were arrested in the AFP-led Operation Arkstone, which launched in 2020 after a tip-off from the United States’ National Centre for Missing and Exploited Children.
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The investigation “dismantled a domestic online network of child sex offenders abusing and exploiting children, including the recording of the horrific crimes to share with others,” the media release said.
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As a result, 25 people across Australia were charged with 1,350 offences, and at least 56 child victims were identified and removed from harm.
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More to come.
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Fresh “vibrancy guidelines” will be introduced in NSW to make it easier for restaurants and bars that are a reasonable distance from homes to trade later into the night, AAP reports.
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The changes come after a handful of residents successfully blocked a restaurant at Sydney’s exclusive Palm Beach from opening in the evening, despite their homes being separated from the venue by a golf course.
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Northern Beaches council in March rejected an application from a newly opened restaurant, The Joey, to open past 4pm after residents living more than 500 metres away complained about potential noise from the licensed premises.
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“It really has left people scratching their heads,” the state’s night-time economy minister, John Graham, told ABC Radio.
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They’re having to turn people away.
\n
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A planned change in legislation, which has been approved by cabinet but is yet to be introduced to state parliament, will apply to bars and restaurants on land 500m or more away from a residential property.
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Councils will have to consider a set of “vibrancy guidelines” when assessing certain applications to extend operating hours in those cases.
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The guidelines will be developed alongside the state’s 24-hour economy commissioner, Michael Rodrigues, after consultation with councils, stakeholders and the wider community.
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These guidelines will really spell out some of the factors that councils should take into account to look after neighbours, but also make sure they’ve got vibrant places.
\n
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The attorney general, Mark Dreyfus, was earlier today grilled on the controversial decision of a delegate of immigration minister, Andrew Giles, to remove the ankle bracelet from Majid Jamshidi Doukoshkan, on the advice of the community protection board.
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Doukoshkan was arrested in April along with two other men over the alleged assault of Ninette Simons and her husband, Philip, 76, and for allegedly stealing $200,000 worth of jewellery. Dreyfus told ABC RN:
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This matter is before the courts … Our thoughts go to the victim of what is obviously a distressing and terrible attack. But I’m not going to comment on a matter where someone has been charged, I’m not going to go to the detail, and that’s where it sits.
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Dreyfus said the purpose of the board is “so that independent expertise can be brought to bear on the sometimes difficult decisions of what are appropriate conditions on someone who is in the community”.
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Mark Dreyfus.","caption":"Attorney-general Mark Dreyfus.","credit":"Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP"}},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
Asked if the board is independent, after Clare O’Neil contradicted the prime minister on that point, Dreyfus replied:
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I’m not sure exactly why this distinction matters. I’m trying to describe the function of this community protection board which is to assist in making the difficult decisions about what conditions should be placed on someone who is in the community. It’s the same as the kinds of decisions that are made by parole boards at the state level when deciding on conditions to be placed on someone who has been released from detention.
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Dreyfus refused to clarify who is responsible for decisions to take ankle bracelets off, replying: “The legislation speaks for itself and anyone can go and read the legislation can see the way in which this community protection board operates.” The answer is the minister or the minister’s delegate (in the case of Doukoshkan).
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Victorian police have confirmed they have received a report in relation to the Yarra Valley Grammar spreadsheet incident.
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Police said in a statement that they would assess the incident to “determine if it’s a matter for police”.
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The recent matter involving students from Yarra Valley Grammar has been reported to police. Investigators will assess the information to determine if it’s a matter for police.
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Victorian police badge.","caption":"A Victorian police badge.","credit":"Photograph: Tracey Nearmy/AAP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1715045105000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"21.25 EDT","blockLastUpdated":1715045952000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"21.39 EDT","blockFirstPublished":1715045715000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"21.35 EDT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"21.35","title":"Yarra Valley grammar spreadsheet reported to Victorian police","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Mon 6 May 2024 23.56 EDT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Mon 6 May 2024 16.31 EDT"},{"id":"66397b238f08cb3df581b879","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
Two students from Yarra Valley grammar school have been expelled over a spreadsheet compiled by a group of boys ranking their female classmates, which the Victorian premier, Jacinta Allan, labelled as “disgraceful” and “disgusting”.
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The spreadsheet reportedly ranked girls from top to bottom as “wifeys”, “cuties”, “mid”, “object”, “get out” and lastly “unrapable”.
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In a letter, the principal, Mark Merry, said an investigation into the matter has been “complex and time consuming” and could not be rushed.
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As a result of these investigations, yesterday I formed the view that the position of two students at Yarra has become untenable and as a consequence they will not be returning to the School. Others, who have played a lesser role in this matter have been subject to further disciplinary action.
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Merry said the school is “characterised by respectful relationships most of the time” but “clearly … more work needs to be done” to ensure everyone feels “valued and respected here at school”.
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Whilst we conduct regular sessions on respectful relationships and model care and respect in all that we do; this has not been enough. We will be reviewing all of our programmes to ensure that the dignity of all is respected. This needs to be a learning moment for all of us.
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The principal said it would be “missing the point” to label the incident as a “Yarra problem” alone, because “sexism and misogyny are ever present in our society and it is the responsibility of all of us … to stand up and make it clear that it is not acceptable anywhere”.
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That March inflation result revved up the punditry (although it was the first upside CPI surprise in six months, as we noted here).
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In the “don’t panic case” are economists such as Stephen Koukoulas, a former economic adviser to Labor PM Julia Gillard. “The economy is still weak and weakening,” he told me this week, pointing to March retail sales that are growing at a record-slow pace (outside the Covid pandemic).
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He’s still confident that there will be “more likely than not a couple of rate cuts” this year, and no rate rise before that.
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Koukoulas notes the RBA’s February forecasts (we get the updated predictions today) had public demand slowing from 4% growth in 2023 to an annual pace of 2.2% by June and 1.1% by December. (Guess we’ll see what the RBA thinks of next week’s federal budget and a possible spending spree in Queensland ahead of an October election that Labor seems on track to lose.)
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Meanwhile, the ANZ/Roy Morgan’s weekly survey finds consumer sentiment still very weak. More noteworthy, perhaps, is the drop in inflation expectations – just what the RBA wants to see. Perhaps all this self-flagellation over a possible rate rise will do the job without a hike.
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With the RBA Board to decide today whether or not to leave its cash rate unchanged at 4.35%, it's interesting (sts) to see inflation expectations fell 0.3pp to 5% in the latest weekly survey by @ANZ_Research and @RoyMorganAus … pic.twitter.com/3c44n5hJO9
— @phannam@mastodon.green (@p_hannam) May 6, 2024
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Shadow treasurer Angus Taylor says the government’s move to wipe $3bn from Hecs and Help debts through indexation changes is a “Band-Aid” solution.
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Speaking to 2CC Breakfast radio, Taylor argued there was no benefit for future students under the changes and by wiping the debt, the government is admitting “prices have gone up faster than wages”.
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\n
The truth of the matter is that the purchasing power of people’s pay packets, the purchasing power in their bank accounts, has gone down under this government. And that has caused enormous pain, not just to students, but to everyone. To pensioners, to hardworking families with a mortgage, and the result of that is that Australians are just struggling to make ends meet.
\n
You can’t put a Band-Aid on this bullet wound. You’ve got to go to the source of the problem and deal with it. And that means a government that lives within its means, that makes sure we’ve got those competitive, productive workplaces that can drive real wages upwards, that can deliver prosperity – restore the prosperity that has been lost since Labor has come to power. But there’s absolutely no sign this government is going down that path.
\n
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treasurer Angus Taylor.","caption":"Shadow treasurer Angus Taylor.","credit":"Photograph: Bianca de Marchi/AAP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1715041675000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"20.27 EDT","blockLastUpdated":1715042307000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"20.38 EDT","blockFirstPublished":1715042147000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"20.35 EDT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"20.35","title":"Shadow treasurer labels $3bn Hecs and Help debt wipe ‘Band-Aid on bullet wound’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Mon 6 May 2024 23.56 EDT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Mon 6 May 2024 16.31 EDT"},{"id":"663974a28f082c8a32eab655","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
Erin Patterson’s court hearing has ended, with her case adjourned until 23 May, when she will appear in the Victorian supreme court for the first time.
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It was expected that magistrate Tim Walsh, who was hearing her case, would have to decide today whether to move the matter to the Melbourne magistrates court, because of issues with availability in Morwell, or to delay a committal hearing until early next year.
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But the court heard Patterson had instead elected to “fast-track” her matter to trial, meaning she will instead skip a committal hearing.
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Erin Patterson, the woman accused of murdering and attempting to murder her relatives by serving them a meal laced with deadly mushrooms, has fronted the Latrobe Valley magistrates court.
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Patterson is expected to find out during the brief hearing whether her case will continue in this court in Morwell, or if it will be transferred to Melbourne.
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Her lawyers submitted during a hearing last month that Patterson, 49, wished for the committal hearing to be held in Morwell.
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The committal hearing is where the evidence against Patterson will be tested for the first time.
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She faces three charges of murder and five counts of attempted murder. The court has heard that Patterson will plead not guilty to all charges.
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The hearing continues.
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Circling back to the treasurer, Jim Chalmers, at his earlier press conference, where he also addressed the advice of the Economic Inclusion Advisory Committee for a timetable to increase jobseeker. Chalmers said:
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We have done more from that first report than I think is broadly acknowledged and there will be additional steps in this budget which are conscious of the recommendations of that important, well regarded, well-informed committee has put to us.
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We take it seriously, but we can’t afford to do every recommendation put to us … We need to be a bit cognisant of the budget situation and what we can afford. We don’t want to overpromise and underdeliver.
\n
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Asked about housing, Chalmers acknowledged that Australia doesn’t have “enough homes” and the pipeline is “not what we need it to be” – which is why national cabinet agreed to a target of building 1.2m new homes.
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Chalmers accepted that “rent is a big part of the inflation challenge” and confirmed there will be “new initiatives for housing” in the budget.
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Jim Chalmers said that “substantial geopolitical uncertainty” was a “defining influence” on the upcoming budget.
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Taking questions from reporters, he said:
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Obviously tensions in the Middle East, the ongoing war in Ukraine, combined with uncertainty around the world – this is a really key influence on the way that we’ve come at this budget. This is one of the reasons why we’re getting the budget in much better nick in terms of debt, why we’re investing in the future, why we’re trying to ease the pressures that people are under now, because there’s a lot of uncertainty.
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When I was at the G20 and IMF meetings in Washington DC last month, the key part of those discussions was about the geopolitics and what that means for our economy. And so clearly – whether it’s volatility in oil prices because of the Middle East, whether it’s the way that the war in Ukraine and Russian aggression in Ukraine has busted up a lot of supply chains that the world relies on, or whether it’s issues closer to home – it is a really key concern that we have tried to grapple with as a government, a cabinet, and an expenditure review committee as we put the finishing touches on the budget.
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Jim Chalmers.","caption":"Treasurer Jim Chalmers.","credit":"Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP"}},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
Asked about an alleged flare incident involving China yesterday, Chalmers said:
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We’ve expressed our concerns to the Chinese government. What we saw here was a very dangerous manoeuvre, unsafe and unprofessional, as the prime minister and defence minister have said.
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The NSW police have released the images for nine more people they believe can assist with an ongoing investigation into the Wakeley riot last month, which occurred following the alleged stabbing of Bishop Mar Mari Emmanuel in a church.
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To date, 14 men have been charged over their alleged involvement in the riot, and all remain before the courts.
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Strike Force Dribs commander, supt Andrew Evans, said while there were a large number of people allegedly involved in the riot, these particular individuals are being “targeted by detectives due to the hostile and aggressive nature of their [alleged] actions”, a statement said.
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The images released today include eight men and a woman:
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Person U: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, with long dark brown hair tied in a bun and a dark coloured beard. Shown wearing a light-coloured shirt.
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Person V: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, solid build, with a dark coloured beard. Shown wearing a grey hooded jumper, black cap, black shorts and white shoes.
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Person Z: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance and muscular build. Shown wearing a black singlet, shorts, cap and shoes.
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Person AH: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, solid build, with a dark coloured beard. Shown wearing a grey t-shirt.
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Person AN: a woman of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, medium build, with blonde hair. Shown wearing a singlet top and shorts, with a shirt tied around her waist and a dark coloured cap.
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Person AO: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, solid build, with a dark beard and a star tattoo on his right arm. Shown wearing a light-coloured shirt with dark writing on the back, shorts and a cap.
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Person BC: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, solid build, with dark hair and a beard. Shown wearing a t-shirt with a motif on the front left-hand side.
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Person BN: a man of Mediterranean/Middle Eastern appearance, muscular build, dark hair and a beard, with a black bandage on his right arm. Shown wearing black pants and a black shoulder bag and white sneakers.
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police tape.","caption":"NSW police tape.","credit":"Photograph: Joel Carrett/AAP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1715030151000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"17.15 EDT","blockLastUpdated":1715037003000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"19.10 EDT","blockFirstPublished":1715037004000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"19.10 EDT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"19.10","title":"Police release images of nine more people in relation to Wakeley riot","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Mon 6 May 2024 23.56 EDT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Mon 6 May 2024 16.31 EDT"},{"id":"66395f438f08cb3df581b7d8","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
Homeowners are increasingly falling behind on their mortgages, with the value of past due loans held at ANZ rising 22% over the past year to $14bn, the bank reported today.
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The deteriorating position of many households, which was also evident in results released yesterday by Westpac, show how a period of elevated interest rates and high living costs is pressuring borrowers.
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There was a significant increase in the value of loans now 60-89 days behind in repayments, up 63% in the 12 months to March, driven by home loans. Once a borrower falls more than 90 days behind, they are at significant risk of default.
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The weakness is masked by strong headline figures, with ANZ reporting a $3.55bn cash profit for the six-month period to March, a historically robust figure. The result was down 7% from last year’s very strong figures which were supercharged by a period of rapid interest rate rises.
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The big bank also announced a $2bn share buyback, which is used to distribute excess capital to investors. It also declared an interim dividend of 83 cents per share, partially franked.
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ANZ chief executive Shayne Elliott said today he expected the domestic and international economic environment to remain challenging.
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The Australian and New Zealand economies are likely to remain subdued, while geopolitical tensions, electoral uncertainty and the introduction of interventionist trade and industry policies will continue internationally.
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The Reserve Bank will announce today whether it will shift the cash rate from its current level of 4.35%.
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The prime minister, Anthony Albanese, says he has made the “appropriate diplomatic representations” regarding an alleged flare incident with China overnight.
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Last night the Australian government accused a Chinese fighter jet of dropping flares close to an Australian helicopter in international waters, with an Australian pilot having to take evasive action. You can read the full story below:
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Speaking on the Today Show, the PM was asked whether he had called Chinese president Xi Jinping directly? He responded:
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We’ve made the appropriate diplomatic representations, as you’d expect. We regard this as unprofessional and that it is unacceptable … We’ve made it very clear … through all of our channels, at all measures at our disposal …
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[When] we speak out when events like this occur, it’s important that we make clear our position – which has been done at the diplomatic levels, at government to government, but also defence to defence, as well… [We made the issue] public in order to be able to speak out very clearly and unequivocally that this behaviour is unacceptable.
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Albanese said China had not responded publicly but he “expect[s] that they will do so”.
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I think the Australian public would expect some form of explanation about how this could occur …
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Albanese.","caption":"Anthony Albanese.","credit":"Photograph: Dean Lewins/AAP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1715034149000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"18.22 EDT","blockLastUpdated":1715038388000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"19.33 EDT","blockFirstPublished":1715034710000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"18.31 EDT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"18.31","title":"Anthony Albanese expects public response from China regarding alleged flare incident","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Mon 6 May 2024 23.56 EDT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Mon 6 May 2024 16.31 EDT"},{"id":"663956a38f08cb3df581b7b1","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
The Victorian government has officially announced its $400 bonus for children across the state, as we flagged earlier.
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In a statement, the Allan government said the $287m School Saving Bonus would provide $400 for every child at government schools, and eligible concession card holders at non-government schools.
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The one-off payments will be delivered via schools to about 700,000 students to help with uniforms, camps, excursions and sporting events. The bonus will apply for each child, but can be spent per family – so a family with three schoolchildren would receive $1,200 to spend.
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The bonus will be delivered during term four this year, the government confirmed, stating:
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We’ll work closely with the department of education on how to make the process easiest for families – support will be provided in two ways: a credit towards the cost of participating in activities in school, and vouchers for parents to help with purchasing school uniforms.
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bonus will be delivered during term four this year.","caption":"The bonus will be delivered during term four this year.","credit":"Photograph: Dean Lewins/AAP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1715033763000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"18.16 EDT","blockLastUpdated":1715034504000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"18.28 EDT","blockFirstPublished":1715034109000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"18.21 EDT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"18.21","title":"Victorian government announces $400 bonus for students in state budget","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Mon 6 May 2024 23.56 EDT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Mon 6 May 2024 16.31 EDT"},{"id":"66394bca8f08cb3df581b76d","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
The opposition leader, Peter Dutton, says the prime minister needs to “pick the phone up” and speak directly to the Chinese president, Xi Jinping, after the Australian government accused a Chinese fighter jet of dropping flares close to an Australian helicopter in international waters.
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The defence minister, Richard Marles, yesterday branded the incident as “unacceptable” and said the Australian pilot had to take evasive action to avoid the flares. You can read all the details below:
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Speaking on the Today Show, Dutton said:
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I think the prime minister needs to pick the phone up, frankly, and speak to the Chinese president … and express our deep concern, because at some stage, there’s going to be a miscalculation and an Australian defence force member is going to lose their life.
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And that is a tragic circumstance that has to be avoided at all costs, but there will be a miscalculation by somebody who’s flying that jet or somebody who’s on the deck of a Chinese naval ship, something will happen.
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And that’s what not just Australia is worried about – the Philippines, Japan, obviously, the United States, many other countries in the region who are very worried about these acts that continue to be provocative and are completely and utterly unnecessary.
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leader Peter Dutton.","caption":"Opposition leader Peter Dutton.","credit":"Photograph: Bianca de Marchi/AAP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1715030986000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"17.29 EDT","blockLastUpdated":1715032950000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"18.02 EDT","blockFirstPublished":1715031402000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"17.36 EDT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"17.36","title":"Dutton urges PM to ‘pick the phone up’ to Xi directly after alleged flare incident","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Mon 6 May 2024 23.56 EDT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Mon 6 May 2024 16.31 EDT"},{"id":"663945558f080b5e6ba94272","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
And happy Tuesday – thanks to Martin for kicking things off. I’m Emily Wind, and I’ll be with you on the live blog today.
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Have any thoughts, questions or tips? You can get in touch via X, @emilywindwrites, or send me an email: emily.wind@theguardian.com.
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Let’s get started.
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The Victorian treasurer, Tim Pallas, will today hand down his 10th budget, which will show the state’s debt is expected to stabilise in the near future.
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Guardian Australia understands the budget will see Victoria’s net debt to GSP (gross state product) ratio fall for the first time since 2017.
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It is unclear when in the forward estimates this will occur but the 2022-23 budget update, released in December, showed Victoria’s net debt was set to hit $135.5bn by the end of June and will continue to grow to $177.8bn by 2026-27 – or 25% of the state’s economy.
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This figure is something Pallas has been keen to bring down as part of his four-step fiscal plan to pay back the state’s debt, which he says a significant amount was accumulated during the pandemic. The final step is “stabilising debt levels”.
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The budget will also forecast operating cash surpluses across the forward estimates, reaching $6.1bn in 2027-28.
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Unlike previous years, there have been no major pre-budgets announcements unveiled by the government this year, apart from a $95m statewide plan to tackle drug overdoses, after it backflipped on establishing a supervised drug injecting room in Melbourne’s CBD.
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premier Jacinta Allan.","caption":"Victorian premier Jacinta Allan.","credit":"Photograph: Joel Carrett/AAP"}},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"
The premier, Jacinta Allan, yesterday said her first budget had been “challenging to put together”, citing “pressures” including interest rate rises, inflation and workforce shortages.
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These are challenges that we can’t ignore. We simply can’t put our head in the sand and ignore these circumstances as we have been putting this budget together.
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It’s why the budget will be firmly focused on Victorian families – as Labor government budgets always are – but we’ll also make the sensible and disciplined decisions that respond to those challenges.
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The Albanese government has said next Tuesday’s budget will reveal that gross debt is now projected to be $152bn lower in 2023-24 compared with the Coalition’s last budget, down from $1.056tn to $904bn.
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Due to lower debt, the government estimates it will save around $80bn in interest costs over the decade to 2032-33, even with an increase in borrowing costs.
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Gross debt as a share of GDP is now expected to peak at 35.2%, down from 44.9% in the pre-election fiscal update.
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The treasurer, Jim Chalmers, said:
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Our government will pay down $152bn worth of Liberal debt this year and save around $80bn on interest payments over the next decade. Debt will peak significantly lower than was projected at the time of the election thanks to our responsible economic management.
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These are some of the dividends of our responsible economic management. We’re getting the budget back in better nick, cleaning up the mess we inherited from the Liberals and aiming for the first back-to-back surplus in almost two decades.
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Good morning and welcome to our live news coverage. I’m Martin Farrer and here are some of the top overnight lines you need to know about before Emily Wind takes up the strain.
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Hopes that a ceasefire in the Israel-Gaza war could avert a full-scale Israeli assault on Rafah are in the balance this morning after a night of knife-edge diplomacy and threats. The Australian government has said it is “gravely concerned by the prospect of a major Israeli ground offensive into Rafah” following the issuing of evacuation orders in parts of Gaza’s southernmost city. It’s a tough test for the Albanese government which may soon have to decide where it officially stands on Palestinian statehood when the UN votes on the issue at the end of the week. More coming up.
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Voters have indicated strong backing for government intervention to counter online harm, including enforcing age verification for pornography, gambling and social media, according to our latest Essential poll. It found majority support for a range reforms to improve online safety including: making it illegal to post sexualised “deepfake” images (80% support); enforcing age verifications for pornography and gambling sites (79%); enforcing age verification for social media (76%); and increasing the “capacity for law enforcement to scrutinise online behaviour” (75%).
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The Albanese government has said next Tuesday’s budget will reveal that gross debt is now projected to be $152bn lower in 2023-24 compared with the Coalition’s last budget, down from $1.056tn to $904bn. The treasurer, Jim Chalmers, said the improvement was down to the government’s good management of the economy and that Labor was getting the budget into “better nick”.
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There are still stern economic tests for the government, however, none more so than the cost of living. All eyes will be on the Reserve Bank’s statement about interest rates at 2.30pm in the hope of at least some signs of lower borrowing costs. More coming up.
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An extensive study into the economics of the professional performing and visual artists and writers reveals today that women working in the sector outnumber men two to one. The ratio in the literary world is even more pronounced in favour of women with 83% of authors being women, according to the work by Creative Australia. However, the sting in the tail is that despite the numerical difference, the numbers still don’t add up to equal pay with women earning 19% less than their male colleagues.
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Adeshola Ore
Peak union body says Victorian budget ‘very difficult for casual workers’
The head of Victoria’s peak union body says it’s disappointed the state budget has ended the Covid-era sick pay guarantee for casual workers.
The state budget, handed down today, says the trial scheme – which provided sick pay for casual and contract workers – will end next financial year.
Luke Hilakari, secretary of Victorian Trades Hall Council, says the trial ensured casual workers were not forced to decide between not being paid and going to work while unwell:
This is a very difficult budget for casual workers.
Juanita Pope, the chief executive of the Victorian council of social services, described the budget as “steady and modest” and welcomed the one-off $400 payment for public school students.
Adeshola Ore
Victorian Chamber of Commerce and Industry welcomes state budget
Victoria’s peak business body has backed the state budget, saying it will help reset the private sector’s relationship with the government.
The Allan government has handed down the state budget which delays key infrastructure projects as it aims to rein in increasing debt but also includes some cost-of-living relief measures.
Paul Guerra, the chief executive of the Victorian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, says he welcomes the fact the government has not imposed new taxes on businesses. He says it signals a reset in the relationship between the state government and the state’s private sector:
In all, a no-frills budget for business. But it’s one that we welcome.
Guerra says he hopes the budget’s cost-of-living measures like a one-off $400 payment will flow towards businesses.
Victorian state budget 2024 winners and losers
As details emerge around the Victorian budget, you can read this piece from our state reporters and this explainer below, outlining the winners and losers:
Josh Butler
Scott Morrison claims China ‘wants to rule the world’
The former prime minister Scott Morrison claims China “want to rule the world” and called Vladimir Putin “the most chilling person I’ve met” in a radio interview with Kyle and Jackie O today.
The recently retired MP is out on a PR blitz for his new book. Joining the radio shock jock duo this morning, Morrison referred to the incident where Australian authorities accused a Chinese jet of dropping flares dangerously close to a navy helicopter off the coast of South Korea:
[The Chinese government] want to be the dominant powerful force in our part of the world, invade Taiwan and take it over, and rule the world or their part of it with their regime which denies people liberty.
That’s something Australians will never accept.
He went on to talk about various world leaders. He called the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, “the most chilling person I’ve met, just a cold sort of guy”, Boris Johnson “the funnest guy I’ve met, a good bloke”, and said “I got on well with Donald Trump”.
“He understood the Australia-US relationship was important,” Morrison said of Trump, saying the former US president was “amazingly friendly toward me”. Morrison recounted a moment, when visiting Trump, that the then-president read out a poem written by Morrison’s distant aunt during a toast.
“He pays attention to detail in relationships,” Morrison said, adding that he didn’t believe a second Trump presidency would be the end of the Australia-US relationship.
Plugging his book, Morrison says Australian ambassador to the US, Kevin Rudd, is hosting his book launch at the Australian embassy in the US next week. The book will be launched by former American secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, the former PM said.
Youth minister says deradicalisation programs for ‘majority’ of young people
The youth minister, Anne Aly, says de-radicalisation programs work for the “majority” of young people.
Speaking to ABC RN earlier this morning, Aly said deradicalisation programs work differently for different people and there is no “one size fits all” – it is depending on their individual needs.
Aly, who has worked as an expert in counter-extremism and deradicalisation, said the core approach has to be about “re-engaging” a young person with their families, friends and old hobbies, and away from online echo-chambers, for example.
It really is about navigating them through this period in their life, which for many will not go on to mean that they go on to commit a violent act, but navigating them through this period in their life and setting them on a path away from violence.
Aly said deradicalisation programs are always being reviewed, but said they work and she has seen this first-hand.
The fact is that where [these programs] don’t work, that’s unfortunately when we hear about them. Most of your listeners will go about their everyday [lives not knowing] these programs existed, and so we don’t know that they’re even there and we only ever see them where they don’t work. But for the vast majority, they do work.
Child protection workers say without additional staff ‘the system will collapse’
Child protection caseworkers will walk off the job and protest outside community services centres across NSW tomorrow.
The Public Service Association cited child safety concerns amid chronic staff shortages and exhaustion among the workforce.
Union general secretary Stewart Little said child protection workers are “concerned that by exposing vulnerable children to a broken system they may suffer even more harm”.
The union is calling for the premier, Chris Minns, to “immediately” onboard 500 additional child protection caseworkers to address an “attraction and retention crisis”, because otherwise “the system will collapse”. Little added:
To be fair the current NSW government didn’t create this mess but it’s up to them to fix it.
Child protection caseworkers are passionate about their work, and they want the people of NSW to know no urgent child protection responses will be impacted during their protest, and that skeleton staffing will be maintained at all times during this protest.
But they feel they have to do something as management just aren’t listening to their concerns.
Apparent human bones discovered at Toowoomba park
Queensland police have declared a crime scene after apparent human bones were discovered in a Toowoomba park yesterday.
Police were notified about the discovery at a park in Middle Ridge around 3pm yesterday afternoon by a member of the public.
Investigations are underway into the circumstances and identification of the bones, which are believed to be human. Anyone with information is urged to contact police.
Walking and cycling paths to get $100m budget boost
Walking and cycling paths will get a $100m boost in the upcoming federal budget, AAP reports, in the biggest national active transport investment in more than a decade.
The transport minister, Catherine King, announced the investment today, with the government to create an Active Transport Fund for infrastructure in urban and regional areas.
The investment, which is expected to be available from July 2025, comes 15 years after a $40m package for bikeways was introduced in the wake of the global financial crisis.
It also comes weeks after the Labor government revealed plans to introduce car emission limits to encourage more manufacturers to import low-emission vehicles and cut transport pollution.
King said the $100m investment would fund bicycle and walking paths around Australia, and would also pay for upgrades to existing infrastructure. Guidelines for the fund will be created after talks with state and territory governments.
Men jailed for child abuse committed ‘some of the most evil crimes imaginable’: AFP commander
Continuing from our last post: the two NSW men’s “criminal behaviour” has been called “perhaps the most disturbing representation of what child sex offenders are capable of” by AFP Cmdr Kate Ferry, as put in a NSW police media release.
The pair were arrested in June 2020, after AFP eastern command child protection operations and NSW police child abuse and sex crimes squad investigators executed search warrants on NSW’s mid-north coast.
Ferry said the pursuit of anyone producing and sharing child abuse material was “relentless”:
Operation Arkstone began as a result of one small piece of information. What the AFP and its domestic and international law enforcement partners uncovered in the weeks and months that followed was truly some of the worst offending we have ever seen.
The criminal behaviour of these two men is perhaps the most disturbing representation of what child sex offenders are capable of, being the systemic sexual abuse of children over many years, across geographical locations and by people who have been entrusted with so much responsibility.
Some of those arrested during Operation Arkstone were meant to keep our children safe. Instead, they used their position to commit some of the most evil crimes imaginable.
Two NSW men jailed for child abuse offences
Two men, one of whom is a former childcare worker, have been sentenced to a combined 63 years’ jail for a series of child abuse offences, according to a NSW police media release.
The NSW men, 30 and 25 years old, pleaded guilty in 2022 to a combined 354 child abuse offences, involving 30 child victims. They were sentenced today at Downing Centre district court.
The 30-year-old man was convicted of 248 offences, including 30 offences of sexual intercourse with a child under 10 years of age, and was sentenced to 37 years with a non-parole period of 26 years.
The 25-year-old man was convicted of 106 offences, including 31 offences of sexual intercourse with a child under 10 years of age. He was sentenced to 26 years, with a non-parole period of 16 years and nine months.
The pair were arrested in the AFP-led Operation Arkstone, which launched in 2020 after a tip-off from the United States’ National Centre for Missing and Exploited Children.
The investigation “dismantled a domestic online network of child sex offenders abusing and exploiting children, including the recording of the horrific crimes to share with others,” the media release said.
As a result, 25 people across Australia were charged with 1,350 offences, and at least 56 child victims were identified and removed from harm.
More to come.
‘Vibrancy’ reforms on the table for later dining hours in NSW
Fresh “vibrancy guidelines” will be introduced in NSW to make it easier for restaurants and bars that are a reasonable distance from homes to trade later into the night, AAP reports.
The changes come after a handful of residents successfully blocked a restaurant at Sydney’s exclusive Palm Beach from opening in the evening, despite their homes being separated from the venue by a golf course.
Northern Beaches council in March rejected an application from a newly opened restaurant, The Joey, to open past 4pm after residents living more than 500 metres away complained about potential noise from the licensed premises.
“It really has left people scratching their heads,” the state’s night-time economy minister, John Graham, told ABC Radio.
They’re having to turn people away.
A planned change in legislation, which has been approved by cabinet but is yet to be introduced to state parliament, will apply to bars and restaurants on land 500m or more away from a residential property.
Councils will have to consider a set of “vibrancy guidelines” when assessing certain applications to extend operating hours in those cases.
The guidelines will be developed alongside the state’s 24-hour economy commissioner, Michael Rodrigues, after consultation with councils, stakeholders and the wider community.
These guidelines will really spell out some of the factors that councils should take into account to look after neighbours, but also make sure they’ve got vibrant places.
Dreyfus grilled on ministerial delegate’s decision to remove ankle bracelet of community detainee
Paul Karp
The attorney general, Mark Dreyfus, was earlier today grilled on the controversial decision of a delegate of immigration minister, Andrew Giles, to remove the ankle bracelet from Majid Jamshidi Doukoshkan, on the advice of the community protection board.
Doukoshkan was arrested in April along with two other men over the alleged assault of Ninette Simons and her husband, Philip, 76, and for allegedly stealing $200,000 worth of jewellery. Dreyfus told ABC RN:
This matter is before the courts … Our thoughts go to the victim of what is obviously a distressing and terrible attack. But I’m not going to comment on a matter where someone has been charged, I’m not going to go to the detail, and that’s where it sits.
Dreyfus said the purpose of the board is “so that independent expertise can be brought to bear on the sometimes difficult decisions of what are appropriate conditions on someone who is in the community”.
Asked if the board is independent, after Clare O’Neil contradicted the prime minister on that point, Dreyfus replied:
I’m not sure exactly why this distinction matters. I’m trying to describe the function of this community protection board which is to assist in making the difficult decisions about what conditions should be placed on someone who is in the community. It’s the same as the kinds of decisions that are made by parole boards at the state level when deciding on conditions to be placed on someone who has been released from detention.
Dreyfus refused to clarify who is responsible for decisions to take ankle bracelets off, replying: “The legislation speaks for itself and anyone can go and read the legislation can see the way in which this community protection board operates.” The answer is the minister or the minister’s delegate (in the case of Doukoshkan).
Yarra Valley grammar spreadsheet reported to Victorian police
Victorian police have confirmed they have received a report in relation to the Yarra Valley Grammar spreadsheet incident.
Police said in a statement that they would assess the incident to “determine if it’s a matter for police”.
The recent matter involving students from Yarra Valley Grammar has been reported to police. Investigators will assess the information to determine if it’s a matter for police.
Two students expelled from Yarra Valley grammar for involvement in spreadsheet
Two students from Yarra Valley grammar school have been expelled over a spreadsheet compiled by a group of boys ranking their female classmates, which the Victorian premier, Jacinta Allan, labelled as “disgraceful” and “disgusting”.
The spreadsheet reportedly ranked girls from top to bottom as “wifeys”, “cuties”, “mid”, “object”, “get out” and lastly “unrapable”.
In a letter, the principal, Mark Merry, said an investigation into the matter has been “complex and time consuming” and could not be rushed.
As a result of these investigations, yesterday I formed the view that the position of two students at Yarra has become untenable and as a consequence they will not be returning to the School. Others, who have played a lesser role in this matter have been subject to further disciplinary action.
Merry said the school is “characterised by respectful relationships most of the time” but “clearly … more work needs to be done” to ensure everyone feels “valued and respected here at school”.
Whilst we conduct regular sessions on respectful relationships and model care and respect in all that we do; this has not been enough. We will be reviewing all of our programmes to ensure that the dignity of all is respected. This needs to be a learning moment for all of us.
The principal said it would be “missing the point” to label the incident as a “Yarra problem” alone, because “sexism and misogyny are ever present in our society and it is the responsibility of all of us … to stand up and make it clear that it is not acceptable anywhere”.
Peter Hannam
A glimpse at the case for a rate rise by the Reserve Bank today – or soon
Of those calling for one or more interest rate rises by the RBA, only one – Capital Markets – has been bold enough to nominate today for the cycle of pain (for borrowers) to resume.
Abhijit Surya, a Capital Markets economist, told me that “since the [RBA board] meeting in mid-March, there have been a slew of upside surprises in the data, and we just think it will be too much for the bank to just look past all of that”.
At the end of the day, if its job is to bring inflation down – and if it’s said that that’s its main priority – there’s still a good case for it to hike rather than just signal it has a ‘hawkish bias’.
Capital reckons the RBA will able to start cutting rates by the first quarter of 2025 – if it acts now.
Central to the “rate hike callers” is the ongoing strength of the labour market. The labour market can be a bit volatile but it’s hard to look past the 100,000-plus full-time jobs created in the first three months of 2024 alone. Slightly annoyingly for all, we only get the March quarter wage price index figures from the ABS on 15 May – a day after the federal budget – to know if the 4.2% annual pace for 2023 is rising or falling.
Data out yesterday from the ANZ and Indeed, meanwhile, showed the jobs market continues to be pretty buoyant. Ads picked up modestly and remain well above pre-Covid levels.
Another data point that dropped yesterday pointed to the strength of the labour market, with ads up 2.8% in April. They remain well above pre-Covid levels, perhaps a little higher than the RBA board would like to see. (Via ANZ, Indeed.) pic.twitter.com/y0V3EX3Kvk
— @phannam@mastodon.green (@p_hannam) May 6, 2024
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Another data point that dropped yesterday pointed to the strength of the labour market, with ads up 2.8% in April. They remain well above pre-Covid levels, perhaps a little higher than the RBA board would like to see. (Via ANZ, Indeed.) pic.twitter.com/y0V3EX3Kvk
— @phannam@mastodon.green (@p_hannam) May 6, 2024
That’s something else for the RBA board to mull over ahead of its 2.30pm AEST decision today. Don’t let your eyes stray from this blog, but return by then if you have to.
A glimpse at the case against a rate rise by the Reserve Bank today
Peter Hannam
That March inflation result revved up the punditry (although it was the first upside CPI surprise in six months, as we noted here).
In the “don’t panic case” are economists such as Stephen Koukoulas, a former economic adviser to Labor PM Julia Gillard. “The economy is still weak and weakening,” he told me this week, pointing to March retail sales that are growing at a record-slow pace (outside the Covid pandemic).
He’s still confident that there will be “more likely than not a couple of rate cuts” this year, and no rate rise before that.
Koukoulas notes the RBA’s February forecasts (we get the updated predictions today) had public demand slowing from 4% growth in 2023 to an annual pace of 2.2% by June and 1.1% by December. (Guess we’ll see what the RBA thinks of next week’s federal budget and a possible spending spree in Queensland ahead of an October election that Labor seems on track to lose.)
Meanwhile, the ANZ/Roy Morgan’s weekly survey finds consumer sentiment still very weak. More noteworthy, perhaps, is the drop in inflation expectations – just what the RBA wants to see. Perhaps all this self-flagellation over a possible rate rise will do the job without a hike.
With the RBA Board to decide today whether or not to leave its cash rate unchanged at 4.35%, it's interesting (sts) to see inflation expectations fell 0.3pp to 5% in the latest weekly survey by @ANZ_Research and @RoyMorganAus … pic.twitter.com/3c44n5hJO9
— @phannam@mastodon.green (@p_hannam) May 6, 2024
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Shadow treasurer labels $3bn Hecs and Help debt wipe ‘Band-Aid on bullet wound’
Shadow treasurer Angus Taylor says the government’s move to wipe $3bn from Hecs and Help debts through indexation changes is a “Band-Aid” solution.
Speaking to 2CC Breakfast radio, Taylor argued there was no benefit for future students under the changes and by wiping the debt, the government is admitting “prices have gone up faster than wages”.
The truth of the matter is that the purchasing power of people’s pay packets, the purchasing power in their bank accounts, has gone down under this government. And that has caused enormous pain, not just to students, but to everyone. To pensioners, to hardworking families with a mortgage, and the result of that is that Australians are just struggling to make ends meet.
You can’t put a Band-Aid on this bullet wound. You’ve got to go to the source of the problem and deal with it. And that means a government that lives within its means, that makes sure we’ve got those competitive, productive workplaces that can drive real wages upwards, that can deliver prosperity – restore the prosperity that has been lost since Labor has come to power. But there’s absolutely no sign this government is going down that path.
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